Argos start season on right foot, blow out Tiger-Cats
Football Betting Lines
07/01/2009 - Hamilton, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kerry Joseph threw for 227 yards and three touchdowns, as the Toronto Argonauts got the CFL season started with a 30-17 win over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in a battle of 2008 also-rans.
Joseph completed 14-of-29 passes for Toronto (1-0), which snapped a nine-game losing streak, dating back to last season, and won in new head coach Bart Andrus' debut with the club. Jamal Robertson added 124 yards on the ground with a touchdown, while Arland Bruce caught five passes for 73 yards and a score.
Toronto and Hamilton were the only two teams that didn't qualify for the Grey Cup playoffs last season, as the Argonauts finished with a 4-14 record while the Tiger-Cats were 3-15.
Quincy Porter went 26-of-40 through the air for 229 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions for Hamilton (0-1), which has lost five straight, dating back to 2008, and 11 of 12 overall. Prechae Rodriguez hauled in seven balls for 55 yards and a score, while Terry Caulley scored Hamilton's other touchdown through the air.
Toronto jumped out to a big lead with 20 points in the first quarter.
Four minutes into the game, Joseph found Bruce from 21 yards out for a touchdown for an early 6-0 lead after a missed PAT attempt.
With 4:43 left in the quarter, Joseph hit Reggie McNeal on a seven-yard touchdown pass to cap a 10-play drive, and the extra point made it 13-0.
Then, on the final play of the opening frame, Robertson ran from five yards out to finish a three-play, 39-yard drive in just 44 seconds to give Toronto a commanding 20-0 lead.
Hamilton finally got on the board, as Caulley hauled in a three-yard touchdown reception from Porter a little over two minutes into the second period, cutting the team's deficit to 20-7.
The Tiger-Cats added three more points on Nick Setta's 18-yard field goal with three minutes left until halftime, but Eddie Johnson answered for the Argonauts with a 25-yard field goal 43 seconds later, accounting for the 23-10 halftime score.
Toronto restored its 20-point cushion early in the second half, as Joseph tossed a 22-yard touchdown pass to Matt Lambros two minutes into the quarter.
Hamilton added a touchdown late, as Rodriguez caught a 21-yard scoring pass from Porter with just over a minute to go in the fourth. The Tiger-Cats, though, were stopped from that point, and Toronto went home victorious.
Game Notes
Robertson also caught three passes for 53 yards...Porter was Hamilton's leading rusher with 61 yards on nine attempts...Hamilton went 2-1 last season against Toronto, accounting for 67 percent of the Tiger-Cats' wins.
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Sportsbook Betting Lines
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Why Sports Betting Lines Change
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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